Concerns over a shutdown are rooted in history. During elections in 2016 and 2021, the government of President Yoweri Museveni blocked internet and social media nationwide, citing national security and public order. Human rights groups argue these blackouts disproportionately affect opposition movements that rely on digital tools to organize and monitor voting.

Wine alleges similar restrictions are planned for 2026, warning that cutting connectivity prevents citizens from verifying results and demanding accountability. Authorities maintain that such measures are lawful and necessary, but critics see them as a way to control narratives during politically sensitive moments.