Recent trades on prediction platforms have drawn scrutiny, including bets on the capture of Venezuela’s leader and wagers tied to major geopolitical events. These cases have raised alarms about whether traders had access to privileged information before events became public.

Experts warn that prediction markets—where users bet on real-world outcomes—can blur the line between speculation and insider trading. As these platforms grow, concerns are increasing that they could be used to profit from sensitive political or national security developments.