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Suspicious Wallets Bet Big on US-Iran Ceasefire
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A group of wallets suspected of having insider-like timing is now betting heavily on a US-Iran ceasefire before the end of March. These same wallets previously made large profits by placing well-timed bets ahead of major geopolitical events, including military strikes. Their latest coordinated moves are once again drawing attention, especially given the size and precision of the positions.While there’s no confirmed proof of insider activity, the pattern is hard to ignore. The ability to consistently enter positions just before major developments raises questions about information flow and fairness in prediction markets. As tensions remain high, these wallets are now being closely watched by traders and analysts alike.
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Rumors on the US side about supposed ceasefire talks are not confirmed by the Iranian side, so this is only a situation where someone has access to highly charged lies. This doesn't change the fact that these same wallets had access to information that the US government actually influenced.
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There's one key factor that makes Trump unwilling to end his game: when he spoke with Zelensky earlier and demanded presidential elections in Ukraine, Zelensky explained that this was impossible because the Ukrainian constitution prohibits presidential elections during wartime. Trump has discovered that this is the perfect way to remain president forever. That's why he'll fight for years. There's another reason that confirms this: the United States has blocked arms shipments to countries that bought weapons from it and already had contracts signed. This is precisely why the European Union's SAFE program has so effectively filled the very loophole it's trying to fill.
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Rumors on the US side about supposed ceasefire talks are not confirmed by the Iranian side, so this is only a situation where someone has access to highly charged lies. This doesn't change the fact that these same wallets had access to information that the US government actually influenced.
@Olaf said in Suspicious Wallets Bet Big on US-Iran Ceasefire:
A group of wallets suspected of having insider-like timing is now betting heavily on a US-Iran ceasefire before the end of March. These same wallets previously made large profits by placing well-timed bets ahead of major geopolitical events, including military strikes. Their latest coordinated moves are once again drawing attention, especially given the size and precision of the positions.
While there’s no confirmed proof of insider activity, the pattern is hard to ignore. The ability to consistently enter positions just before major developments raises questions about information flow and fairness in prediction markets. As tensions remain high, these wallets are now being closely watched by traders and analysts alike.
Offline
Olaf Skurwensson
wrote about 4 hours ago
last edited by
#2
Rumors on the US side about supposed ceasefire talks are not confirmed by the Iranian side, so this is only a situation where someone has access to highly charged lies. This doesn't change the fact that these same wallets had access to information that the US government actually influenced.just some wallets casually predicting global events with perfect timing, nothing suspicious
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@Olaf said in Suspicious Wallets Bet Big on US-Iran Ceasefire:
A group of wallets suspected of having insider-like timing is now betting heavily on a US-Iran ceasefire before the end of March. These same wallets previously made large profits by placing well-timed bets ahead of major geopolitical events, including military strikes. Their latest coordinated moves are once again drawing attention, especially given the size and precision of the positions.
While there’s no confirmed proof of insider activity, the pattern is hard to ignore. The ability to consistently enter positions just before major developments raises questions about information flow and fairness in prediction markets. As tensions remain high, these wallets are now being closely watched by traders and analysts alike.
Offline
Olaf Skurwensson
wrote about 4 hours ago
last edited by
#2
Rumors on the US side about supposed ceasefire talks are not confirmed by the Iranian side, so this is only a situation where someone has access to highly charged lies. This doesn't change the fact that these same wallets had access to information that the US government actually influenced.just some wallets casually predicting global events with perfect timing, nothing suspicious
@cryptoenthusiast Well, it's a little bit complicated, because of original video is in Polish language, but there is possibility go to
more options:
Audio track:
(and choose English)https://youtu.be/1wQc148Zw_M?si=9xanZTRlUxDX28vs
The original title of this movie on YT in Polish language is:
Największy WAŁEK w historii giełdy! Zrobili z rynków prywatne KASYNO!
(Make sure, that AI don't translate this phrase on English, or did something like translate it on English and then retranslate back on Polish - usually it can completely destroying the phrase).
What is on this video (original voice in Polish is natural, in Englisch seems awfully, so maybe I just wrote some explanation)
In this video there's detailed descripted that 15 minutes before D. Trump made announcement on his social media about peace talks with Iran, there was some important moves in market from some wallets. Somebody know what happened in next 15 minutes in market.
And of course Iran denied that there was any talks about peace with USA.
Sorry for my English.
Enjoy
